3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,103 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,532/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$487
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$95/mo
Annual
$1,140/yr
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.40%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#640 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Sweetwater ISD (town): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #681 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Nolan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nolan County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SRGWYS637YM63R
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29