4158 Cedar Springs Rd

Rural Retreat, VA 24368

$38,500B+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Built 1940 · SingleFamily · Pending · 5 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,387/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$202
• Tax + insurance: −$107
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$291
• Net cashflow: $787/mo
• Annual: $9,447/yr
• Cap rate: 32.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 95.03%
• DSCR: 5.23
• 1% rule: 3.60%
• Cash to close: $10,780

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $787 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $291 of equity ($266 loan paydown + $25 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#134 in VA, #4,304 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Wythe County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 131 in VA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Zoned schools: Rural Retreat Elementary (math 72% / reading 82%, grade A, #171 of 1,108 statewide, top 17%, 362 students, 75% FRL); Rural Retreat Middle (math 73% / reading 80%, grade A, #40 of 342 statewide, top 12%, 231 students, 75% FRL); Rural Retreat High (math 67% / reading 87%, grade A-, #90 of 319 statewide, top 30%, 312 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 41% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Wythe County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Wythe County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 4.3% in Rural Retreat — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.