3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,241 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 223 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,249/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$907
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$-54/mo
Annual
$-654/yr
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.35%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$48,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $173k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-654/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (5.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (27.8% below list).
It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $125k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#222 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Seminole (town): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 270 in OK (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wilson Es (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 499 students, 0% FRL); Northwood Es (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #158 of 345 statewide, top 47%, 301 students, 0% FRL); Seminole Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 451 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 63% district-wide (63 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $173k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.8% in Seminole — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29