2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Active
· 231 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,072/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$802
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$225
Net cashflow
$-217/mo
Annual
$-2,598/yr
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.06%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$42,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $153k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (25.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (29.9% below list).
It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,115 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Albert Gallatin Area SD (rural): math 26% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #419 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $153k implies a 669% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SS1VCD17D3BQ2M
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29