4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Condo
· Pending
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$930/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$128
Tax + insurance
−$41
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$195
Net cashflow
$566/mo
Annual
$6,787/yr
Cap rate
34.00%
Cash-on-cash
98.94%
DSCR
5.40
1% rule
3.80%
Cash to close
$6,860
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $24k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($930 rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $128 of equity ($169 loan paydown + $-41 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: J. S. Clark Elementary School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #577 of 646 statewide, top 90%, 447 students, 91% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); Booker T. Washington New Technology High School (math 3% / reading 8%, grade F, #259 of 265 statewide, top 98%, 786 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 34.0% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SS7RX82JYQYGWT
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29