2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,894/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,196
Tax + insurance
−$468
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$398
Net cashflow
$-168/mo
Annual
$-2,014/yr
Cap rate
5.41%
Cash-on-cash
-3.15%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$63,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $228k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (13.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#67 in CT, #4,936 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime D, employment D.
New Britain School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #153 of 153 in CT (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Diloreto Elementary & Middle School (math 4% / reading 15%, grade F, #522 of 553 statewide, top 95%, 842 students, 73% FRL); Pulaski Middle School (math 0% / reading 13%, grade F, #171 of 175 statewide, top 98%, 867 students, 80% FRL); New Britain High School (math 10% / reading 31%, grade F, #162 of 194 statewide, top 83%, 2,331 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 75% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $228k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.2% in New Britain — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29