2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,292 sqft ·
Built 1877
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 145 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,594/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$451
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$335
Net cashflow
$-135/mo
Annual
$-1,620/yr
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.63%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (11.4% below list).
It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $156k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#54 in PA, #339 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D-.
Palmerton Area SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #234 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SSKVAD4FYVT000
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29