42 bd · None ba ·
9,439 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,755/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$848
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,049
Net cashflow
$4,368/mo
Annual
$52,413/yr
Cap rate
17.33%
Cash-on-cash
39.41%
DSCR
2.75
1% rule
2.05%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 5×1bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba + 1×?bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $475k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($52k/yr) — positive. Per door: $624/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $475k).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($461k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $461k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#408 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Depew Union Free School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #461 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $165k; list at $475k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 3.7% in Depew — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,755/mo this rent would consume 158% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 854% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SSYCRK685AMASC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29