4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,336 sqft ·
Built 1956
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,311/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$577
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$485
Net cashflow
$-320/mo
Annual
$-3,835/yr
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.58%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-320 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (18.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (22.7% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $231k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#13 in IA, #450 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
Iowa City Community School District (urban): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #174 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Longfellow Elementary School (math 60% / reading 62%, grade B, #385 of 616 statewide, top 63%, 385 students, 57% FRL); Southeast Junior High School (math 64% / reading 68%, grade A-, #152 of 246 statewide, top 62%, 812 students, 50% FRL); Iowa City High School (math 62% / reading 73%, grade B, #186 of 336 statewide, top 57%, 1,599 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 30% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $175k; list at $299k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.7% in Iowa City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,311/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ST94C5ABFTJBE8
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29