1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Condo
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,862/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$864
Tax + insurance
−$147
HOA
−$301
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$391
Net cashflow
$159/mo
Annual
$1,906/yr
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.13%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$46,146
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in IL, #529 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+.
Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $79k; list at $165k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.3% in Orland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ST9KT914KQ21D6
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29