2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 1916
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$984/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$126
Tax + insurance
−$73
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$578/mo
Annual
$6,942/yr
Cap rate
35.22%
Cash-on-cash
103.30%
DSCR
5.60
1% rule
4.10%
Cash to close
$6,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $578 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#216 in PA, #1,891 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
Aliquippa SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #530 of 539 in PA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $24k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 35.2% vs local median 6.0% in Aliquippa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-STB20BDDXHSHGC
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29