3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,277/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$183
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$768/mo
Annual
$9,212/yr
Cap rate
32.69%
Cash-on-cash
94.27%
DSCR
5.19
1% rule
3.66%
Cash to close
$9,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $768 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
Springfield Local (suburban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #404 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 32.7% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-STEAE76RQB499A
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29