6 bd · 3.9 ba ·
2,754 sqft ·
Built 2004
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 291 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,232/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,506
Tax + insurance
−$1,051
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,359
Net cashflow
$2,316/mo
Annual
$27,788/yr
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.72%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$294,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $1.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $772/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $1.05M).
It's been on market 291 days — a 12% lower offer ($924k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $924k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $294k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $11,232/mo this rent would consume 348% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 6917% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 291 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29