2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,971/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,012
Tax + insurance
−$322
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$414
Net cashflow
$-26/mo
Annual
$-318/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.59%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$54,040
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $193k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-318/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (2.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $193k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Greater Egg Harbor Regional High School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #319 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $193k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SVQ3CW05M9DSWM
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29