4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,618 sqft ·
Built 2009
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,246/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,651
Tax + insurance
−$213
HOA
−$67
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$-157/mo
Annual
$-1,883/yr
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.14%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$88,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-157 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (8.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (28.7% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $225k (28.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Russell County (rural): math 18% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #65 of 129 in AL (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Russell County Middle School (math 14% / reading 45%, grade F, #129 of 257 statewide, top 52%, 830 students, 77% FRL); Russell County High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,014 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 58% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.1% in Cusseta-Chattahoochee County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29