5 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,683 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$13,105
Tax + insurance
−$3,597
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,200
Net cashflow
$-903/mo
Annual
$-10,830/yr
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.55%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$699,720
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $2.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-903 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.34M (6.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.00M (20.0% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $2.00M (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $17k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $75k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#207 in NY, #3,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
Roslyn Union Free School District (suburban): math 83% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #28 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: East Hills Elementary School (math 80% / reading 83%, grade A+, #170 of 2,108 statewide, top 8%, 565 students, 17% FRL); Roslyn Middle School (math 78% / reading 82%, grade A+, #28 of 729 statewide, top 4%, 766 students, 16% FRL); Roslyn High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,035 students, 15% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $842k; list at $2.50M implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.5% in East Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SX06WY8CYCHE1K
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29