3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Other
· Active
· 625 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,001/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$679
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$34/mo
Annual
$409/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.13%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$36,260
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($409/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (22.7% below list).
It's been on market 625 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($895 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#854 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Clearwater R-I (rural): math 33% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #255 of 324 in MO (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Clearwater Elementary (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 414 students, 72% FRL); Clearwater Middle (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #313 of 391 statewide, top 81%, 263 students, 66% FRL); Clearwater High (math 34% / reading 57%, grade D-, #174 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 239 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP.
Wayne County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Piedmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 625 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29