2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,454 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 1451 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,527/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$2,141
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$531
Net cashflow
$-1,285/mo
Annual
$-15,419/yr
Cap rate
-3.05%
Cash-on-cash
-33.37%
DSCR
-0.48
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
It's been on market 1451 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Port Aransas ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #68 of 826 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Olsen El (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 227 students, 35% FRL); Brundrett Middle (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B+, #134 of 1,662 statewide, top 8%, 115 students, 31% FRL); Port Aransas H S (math 74% / reading 74%, grade B+, #82 of 1,632 statewide, top 6%, 204 students, 19% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 85% of rent.
Market conditions: 1107 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate -3.1% vs local median 3.7% in Corpus Christi — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 1451 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-SX1TTG55FA8AX5
· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29