3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,208 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 320 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,268/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$636
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$-159/mo
Annual
$-1,904/yr
Cap rate
9.51%
Cash-on-cash
11.48%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $72k (28.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 320 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#78 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cut Off Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #201 of 646 statewide, top 33%, 426 students, 57% FRL); Larose-Cut Off Middle School (math 35% / reading 56%, grade D+, #45 of 218 statewide, top 20%, 481 students, 57% FRL); South Lafourche High School (math 33% / reading 59%, grade D-, #54 of 265 statewide, top 20%, 1,108 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.9% in Cut Off — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 320 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SXQTE84QTRHRHH
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29