4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,585 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Manufactured
· Active
· 241 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,184/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$825
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$459
Net cashflow
$71/mo
Annual
$851/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.53%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.82%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($851/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 241 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#15 in UT, #602 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A.
Provo District (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #44 of 80 in UT (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 241 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Siding
— Weathered appearance
Minor: Paint
— Some wear on interior walls
Minor: Landscaping
— Needs some maintenance
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29