3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 456 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,403/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$445
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$295
Net cashflow
$521/mo
Annual
$6,257/yr
Cap rate
13.66%
Cash-on-cash
26.32%
DSCR
2.17
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$23,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 456 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#545 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Honeoye Falls-Lima Central School District (town): math 74% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #96 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 456 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SYQHY7CENCZTN5
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29