3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,738 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$810
Tax + insurance
−$337
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$82/mo
Annual
$986/yr
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.28%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$43,232
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $154k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($986/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $154k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#149 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
East Allen County Schools (suburban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #122 of 301 in IN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.9% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SYSRWCB2NSK55E
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29