2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,118/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$653
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$130/mo
Annual
$1,560/yr
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.47%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$34,860
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (10.2% below list).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($861 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#344 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools D.
Paint Creek ISD (rural): math 45% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #669 of 1,141 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP.
Haskell County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-T01ZSND4B78A08
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29