4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$430
Net cashflow
$-282/mo
Annual
$-3,380/yr
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.39%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$76,996
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (14.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (25.5% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $205k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#220 in OH, #3,412 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
Graham Local (rural): math 44% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #407 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Graham Elementary School (math 50% / reading 61%, grade C, #772 of 1,584 statewide, top 49%, 725 students, 38% FRL); Graham Middle School (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C+, #378 of 654 statewide, top 59%, 389 students, 38% FRL); Graham High School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #497 of 781 statewide, top 66%, 551 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Champaign County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 4.0% in Sidney — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T04BCHB8BKD4E8
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29