2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,509 sqft ·
Built 1956
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,119/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,307
Tax + insurance
−$782
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$865
Net cashflow
$165/mo
Annual
$1,981/yr
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.61%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$123,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $440k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $412k (6.4% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($427k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $412k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Highland Elementary School (math 28% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,969 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 937 students, 85% FRL); Lake Worth Community Middle (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 1,249 students, 75% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 52% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-27 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $355k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $4,119/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2429% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T0B7MR4KBMSJ1K
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29