1 bd · 0.5 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2014
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$20/mo
Annual
$239/yr
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.85%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($239/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (10.0% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#725 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Goldthwaite ISD (rural): math 65% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #50 of 826 in TX (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Goldthwaite El (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #257 of 4,322 statewide, top 6%, 242 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Mills County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.6% in Goldthwaite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
Minor: Bathroom shelf and wall
— Needs cleaning
Minor: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Minor: Hardwood floors
— Signs of wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-T0D5GXANT11WMQ
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29