2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
978 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,186/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$-38/mo
Annual
$-458/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.03%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-458/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (4.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (25.4% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#16 in NC, #1,454 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
Thomasville City Schools (suburban): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #164 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Thomasville Primary (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #908 of 1,410 statewide, top 67%, 743 students, 100% FRL); Thomasville Middle (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #406 of 475 statewide, top 86%, 494 students, 99% FRL); Thomasville High (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #414 of 535 statewide, top 79%, 634 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 82% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $134k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.1% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29