3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1904
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,809/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,251
Tax + insurance
−$398
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$-219/mo
Annual
$-2,628/yr
Cap rate
5.19%
Cash-on-cash
-3.94%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$66,780
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $238k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (13.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (24.1% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $181k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#298 in PA, #2,633 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Moscow El Sch (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #123 of 1,518 statewide, top 9%, 591 students, 43% FRL); North Pocono Ms (math 25% / reading 69%, grade D+, #163 of 512 statewide, top 33%, 665 students, 36% FRL); North Pocono Hs (math 72%, 905 students, 33% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T18W9Z8PNHH8PR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29