2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
520 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Manufactured
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,335/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$744/mo
Annual
$8,925/yr
Cap rate
26.13%
Cash-on-cash
70.83%
DSCR
4.15
1% rule
2.97%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+.
Eugene SD 4J (urban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #10 of 58 in OR (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Charlemagne French Immersion Elementary School (math 74% / reading 74%, grade A, #23 of 412 statewide, top 7%, 337 students, 17% FRL); Roosevelt Middle School (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A+, #3 of 128 statewide, top 2%, 543 students, 41% FRL); South Eugene High School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #23 of 143 statewide, top 19%, 1,505 students, 27% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 71% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Eugene SD 4J average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T1FVQGERJG419M
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29