3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,494 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,057/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$-406/mo
Annual
$-4,877/yr
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.81%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-406 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (23.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (31.4% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Lockmar Elementary School (math 45% / reading 53%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 583 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Palm Bay Magnet Senior High School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,486 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 43% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 750 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $180k; list at $300k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T1MSDJ52FJCJT3
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29