5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,691/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$241
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$565
Net cashflow
$1,309/mo
Annual
$15,703/yr
Cap rate
20.57%
Cash-on-cash
50.98%
DSCR
3.27
1% rule
2.45%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#73 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Vernon School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #97 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Skinner Road School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #298 of 553 statewide, top 56%, 321 students, 52% FRL); Vernon Center Middle School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #116 of 175 statewide, top 67%, 678 students, 60% FRL); Rockville High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #112 of 194 statewide, top 60%, 932 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 35% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $110k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 3.5% in Rockville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T2TQ95E5D1R6XS
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29