2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
972 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,195/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$188
Tax + insurance
−$60
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$696/mo
Annual
$8,353/yr
Cap rate
29.56%
Cash-on-cash
83.10%
DSCR
4.70
1% rule
3.33%
Cash to close
$10,052
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $248 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#231 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Pike County School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #203 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pike Central Middle School (math 20% / reading 33%, grade F, #236 of 330 statewide, top 72%, 366 students, 49% FRL); Pike Central High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 475 students, 44% FRL).
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T34X7TC1E0ZXNM
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29