2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$877/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$106/mo
Annual
$1,267/yr
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.32%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#798 in MN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, health & safety D.
Lake Superior Public School District (rural): math 34% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #191 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T4NPV1CSJ2NBG6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29