8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,206 sqft ·
Built 1904
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 350 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,866/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,120
Tax + insurance
−$411
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,072
Net cashflow
$4,263/mo
Annual
$51,160/yr
Cap rate
14.89%
Cash-on-cash
30.71%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$166,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $595k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($51k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $595k).
It's been on market 350 days — a 12% lower offer ($524k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $524k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $190k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $115k; list at $595k implies a 417% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $167k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,866/mo this rent would consume 156% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2081% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 350 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T51VPBAG1KPMSQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29