2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
684 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Land
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,222/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$155
HOA
−$695
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-95/mo
Annual
$-1,136/yr
Cap rate
3.45%
Cash-on-cash
-10.15%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
3.06%
Cash to close
$11,186
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $33k (16.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E (urban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #56 of 86 in CO (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Stratton Elementary School (math 54% / reading 57%, grade C+, #143 of 966 statewide, top 15%, 286 students, 36% FRL); North Middle School (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #121 of 270 statewide, top 46%, 590 students, 63% FRL); Palmer High School (math 26% / reading 58%, grade F, #155 of 381 statewide, top 42%, 1,384 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; HOA is 57% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 195 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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