3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,140 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 132 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,725/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,479
Tax + insurance
−$309
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$-426/mo
Annual
$-5,107/yr
Cap rate
4.48%
Cash-on-cash
-6.47%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$78,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $282k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-426 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (26.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (38.8% below list).
It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($248k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (38.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#491 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Franklin County Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #128 of 178 in NC (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Franklinton Elementary (math 29% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,033 of 1,410 statewide, top 76%, 522 students, 81% FRL); Franklinton Middle (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #381 of 475 statewide, top 81%, 247 students, 78% FRL); Franklinton High (math 57% / reading 60%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 1,182 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: 251 active listings in the ZIP; 948 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $48k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $160k; list at $282k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.1% in Franklinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29