5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,208 sqft ·
Built 1923
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,412/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$122
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$705/mo
Annual
$8,461/yr
Cap rate
21.68%
Cash-on-cash
54.94%
DSCR
3.44
1% rule
2.57%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $931 of equity ($380 loan paydown + $551 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Blacklick Valley SD (town): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $46k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T6BWJR3H66B72K
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29