3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,029 sqft ·
Built 1933
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,807/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$372
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$379
Net cashflow
$-361/mo
Annual
$-4,328/yr
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.84%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-361 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (23.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (33.1% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $181k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in MD, #2,926 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Campfield Early Childhood Center (352 students, 62% FRL); Woodlawn Middle (math 6% / reading 26%, grade F, #183 of 225 statewide, top 84%, 633 students, 67% FRL); Woodlawn High (math 4% / reading 27%, grade F, #184 of 222 statewide, top 83%, 1,815 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 39% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T6CKHE71C7P1YQ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29