4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
3,284 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Other
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,963
Tax + insurance
−$344
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,228
Net cashflow
$1,314/mo
Annual
$15,767/yr
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.97%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$158,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $565k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $565k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($548k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $548k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Nampa School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #82 of 92 in ID (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sherman Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #318 of 357 statewide, top 92%, 513 students, 88% FRL); Skyview High School (math 26% / reading 48%, grade F, #100 of 169 statewide, top 61%, 1,152 students, 32% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $158k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.2% in Nampa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T6RAHK5CA7XWH2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29