2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,179/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$852
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$12
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$-77/mo
Annual
$-929/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.04%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$45,500
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $162k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-929/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (8.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (27.4% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#195 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Ferguson Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #246 of 412 statewide, top 60%, 539 students, 74% FRL); Henley Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 419 students, 72% FRL); Henley High School (693 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $162k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.7% in Altamont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T78H912QSZX2GZ
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29