3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,283/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$702/mo
Annual
$8,427/yr
Cap rate
25.02%
Cash-on-cash
66.88%
DSCR
3.98
1% rule
2.85%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $702 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#510 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Durand Area Schools (rural): math 17% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Robert Kerr School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #923 of 1,397 statewide, top 69%, 348 students, 63% FRL); Durand Middle School (math 16% / reading 38%, grade F, #372 of 493 statewide, top 77%, 276 students, 55% FRL); Durand Area High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #372 of 713 statewide, top 56%, 425 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Shiawassee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shiawassee County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Major: HVAC system
— not visible
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· Data 1 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29