2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
904 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,575/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$307
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$-117/mo
Annual
$-1,400/yr
Cap rate
5.41%
Cash-on-cash
-3.14%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (13.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (0.9% below list).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#182 in IL, #3,511 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living D+, amenities F.
Lincoln Way Chsd 210 (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #60 of 620 in IL (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lincoln-Way Central High School (math 45% / reading 49%, grade D-, #53 of 693 statewide, top 8%, 1,962 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $125k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.9% in Mokena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T7P05500DA18XQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29