4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,788 sqft ·
Built 1932
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 249 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,432/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$607
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$-368/mo
Annual
$-4,411/yr
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.49%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-368 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $105k (38.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (15.8% below list).
It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#68 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Lincoln County School District (rural): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #5 of 17 in NV (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $114k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T7P8KR3YTQV7GP
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29