2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,503/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$115
Tax + insurance
−$37
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$316
Net cashflow
$1,035/mo
Annual
$12,424/yr
Cap rate
62.76%
Cash-on-cash
201.69%
DSCR
9.97
1% rule
6.83%
Cash to close
$6,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $22k).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $20k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $152 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $660 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in WY, #2,337 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
Sheridan County School District #2 (town): math 68% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #1 of 41 in WY (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 509 active listings in the ZIP; 309 units permitted in Sheridan County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sheridan County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 62.8% vs local median 2.4% in Sheridan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29