12 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,100 sqft ·
Built 1959
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 170 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,256/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,244
Tax + insurance
−$1,528
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,154
Net cashflow
$1,330/mo
Annual
$15,959/yr
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.53%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$280,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1000k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $443/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $1000k).
It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($880k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $880k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#315 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Ozona Elementary School (math 73% / reading 66%, grade A-, #364 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 762 students, 31% FRL); Seminole High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #351 of 667 statewide, top 54%, 1,546 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 245 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $855k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$65k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29