8 bd · 8.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 2024
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 201 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,914/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,570
Tax + insurance
−$817
HOA
−$63
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,032
Net cashflow
$433/mo
Annual
$5,193/yr
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.79%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$137,200
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/2.0ba + 2×3bd/2.0ba units multifamily listed at $490k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $108/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $490k).
It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($431k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $431k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $52k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $49k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,230 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Sharyland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 826 in TX (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Olivero Garza Sr El (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 587 students, 82% FRL); Sharyland North J H (math 46% / reading 42%, grade D, #512 of 1,662 statewide, top 32%, 806 students, 74% FRL); Sharyland Pioneer H S (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #774 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 1,471 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 55% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 625 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $137k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$84k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.6% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,914/mo this rent would consume 107% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 855% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29