3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Manufactured
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$371/mo
Annual
$4,452/yr
Cap rate
13.30%
Cash-on-cash
25.02%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#154 in PA, #1,281 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
Spring Cove SD (town): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #344 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Spring Cove El Sch (350 students, 52% FRL); Spring Cove Ms (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #328 of 512 statewide, top 65%, 376 students, 52% FRL); Central Hs (math 57%, 554 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T8DJWFDDD472T8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29