4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,284 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,834/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$385
Net cashflow
$119/mo
Annual
$1,425/yr
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.54%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (8.3% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $183k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#281 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Raytown C-2 (suburban): math 12% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #302 of 324 in MO (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Norfleet Elem. (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 311 students, 67% FRL); Raytown Central Middle (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #326 of 391 statewide, top 84%, 564 students, 64% FRL); Raytown Sr. High (math 7% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 521 statewide, top 92%, 1,365 students, 65% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.0% in Raytown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T8FBH19Z8HX66B
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29