4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,786 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 126 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,022/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$476
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$845
Net cashflow
$604/mo
Annual
$7,242/yr
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.47%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $302/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $352k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Campbell Park Elementary School (math 19% / reading 19%, grade F, #2,111 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 462 students, 87% FRL); John Hopkins Middle School (math 25% / reading 27%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 723 students, 66% FRL); Gibbs High School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,160 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 48% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $400k implies a 1043% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,022/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1928% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T8XCY91XS8ZSQX
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29