2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,270 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 193 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,985/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,850
Tax + insurance
−$639
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$627
Net cashflow
$-131/mo
Annual
$-1,576/yr
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.60%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$98,792
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $353k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $330k (6.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $298k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $298k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#447 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fruitland Park Elementary School (math 46% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,345 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 733 students, 66% FRL); Carver Middle School (math 41% / reading 41%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 837 students, 65% FRL); Leesburg High School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,641 students, 58% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lake average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 265 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $228k; list at $353k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$61k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Fruitland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T91J8S8RAXZ0W6
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29